Lanchester

2 pages

The War of Delta. Firepower Wins the Map and Loses the Clock.

The Iran campaign has become an attrition race between Iranian residual power, coalition pressure, and the lagged Hormuz shock — fought under two rival theories of victory: a war for a result, or a war for a permanent ceiling.

July 19, 2026

33 min

Iran IRGC Israel OperationEpicFury Hormuz AttritionWarfare DeltaWar Lanchester Geopolitics

The IRGC's Bet Paid Off. The Model Was Wrong From the Start.

A Lanchester-framed post-mortem on the 2026 Iran war: why the JINSA-FDD analytical ecosystem got the attrition calculus wrong, how the IRGC's missile-drone doctrine performed against its own design objectives, and what the Hormuz closure was actually aimed at.

April 12, 2026

23 min

Iran IRGC Israel OperationEpicFury Lanchester AsymmetricWarfare Hormuz DahiyaDoctrine ThinkTanks Geopolitics