Israel

3 pages

The IRGC's Bet Paid Off. The Model Was Wrong From the Start.

A Lanchester-framed post-mortem on the 2026 Iran war: why the JINSA-FDD analytical ecosystem got the attrition calculus wrong, how the IRGC's missile-drone doctrine performed against its own design objectives, and what the Hormuz closure was actually aimed at.

April 12, 2026

23 min

Iran IRGC Israel OperationEpicFury Lanchester AsymmetricWarfare Hormuz DahiyaDoctrine ThinkTanks Geopolitics

The World Has Reset

A sweeping doctrinal audit of the post-October 7th world – from the exhaustion of Israeli strategic templates to Iran's overextension, Hamas's ideological permanence, and Pakistan's emerging military-industrial posture.

June 24, 2025

8 min

Hamas Hezbollah Iran Israel Pakistan Turkey MiddleEast Deterrence AsymmetricWarfare Doctrine Geopolitics CivilisationalChange

The Inevitable Kinetic Engagement: India's Potential Strike on Pakistan

Written a week before the 2025 India–Pakistan aerial confrontation, this analysis predicted with striking accuracy the implications, Pakistan's response, and the tools of delivery.

April 25, 2025

7 min

PK-IND Strategy Geopolitics Israel Nuclear_Deterrence